Fivethirtyeight Senate Forecast 2024. Data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability,. Use it to create and share your own senate forecast.

As of this writing, their model gives democrats a 62% probability of winning control. Democrats have more than twice as many senate seats to defend in 2024 as republicans, an imbalance that gives the gop a clear path to capturing the senate — even if the.